Through Sunday Morning * Showers And Embedded Thunderstorms Will Become More Numerous Across Much Of Eastern New York And Adjacent Western New England Later This Morning And Continue Through Much Of Tonight Before Diminishing Late Tonight And Sunday Morning. The Combination Of A Warm And Very Humid Airmass In Place Across Our Region...A Slow Moving Upper Level Disturbance Drifting East From The Eastern Great Lakes...And Weak Wind Fields In The Low To Mid Levels Of The Atmosphere Will Result In Showers And Thunderstorms With Very Heavy Rain...Which Are Likely To Move Very Slowly And Even Back Build.
The Showers And Thunderstorms Will Primarily Move From Southwest To Northeast At 10 To 20 Mph...However At Times They May Appear To Be Nearly Stationary. By The Time The Showers And Thunderstorms Diminish Late Tonight Into Sunday Morning Some Areas Could See 1 To 3 Inches Of Rain...With Isolated Amounts Of 2 To 5 Inches.
The Greatest Threat Of Showers And Thunderstorms With Heavy Rain Will Translate From The Eastern Catskills...Mohawk Valley And Hudson Valley This Morning Through This Afternoon Into The Taconics And Western New England Later This Evening Into Sunday Morning.
* All Interests Are Advised To Monitor Weather Conditions Closely As Slow Moving And Back Building Showers And Thunderstorms Can Easily Produce Rainfall Amounts Of Well Over 1 Inch Per Hour. This Can Cause Rapid Rises In Water On Roadways...Low Lying Areas And Creeks. It Can Also Cause Mud And Debris To Slide Onto Roadways In Areas Of Steep Terrain.
Special weather statements have also been issued for Ulster, Columbia and Dutchess counties:
At 1049 AM EDT...National Weather Service Doppler Radar Indicated A Thunderstorm Capable Of Producing Very Heavy Rain With Rainfall Of 1 To 2 Inches An Hour. This Storm Was Located Near Rhinebeck And Moving East At 20 Mph. The Thunderstorm Will Be Near... 7 Miles North Of Stanfordville By 1115 AM... Pine Plains By 1125 AM... Ancram And 6 Miles West Of Millerton By 1130 AM.
At 1045 AM EDT...National Weather Service Doppler Radar Indicated A Strong Thunderstorm Capable Of Producing Strong Gusty Winds...And Very Heavy Rain. This Storm Was Located Near White Sulphur Springs...And Moving East At 25 Mph. * The Strong Thunderstorm Will Be Near... Loch Sheldrake At 1105 AM EDT... Grahamsville At 1120 AM EDT...
If You Are Boating On Area Lakes...Seek Shelter Now. Get Out Of The Water And Move Indoors Or Inside A Vehicle. This Storm Has The Potential To Produce Very Heavy Rain With Rain Rates Of 1 To 2 Inches Per Hour Which Could Cause Localized Flooding Of Roads And Poor Drainage Areas. Never Drive Through Water Covered Roads Or Underpasses.
Showers And Thunderstorms Will Increase In Coverage This Morning And Peak In The Afternoon And Early Evening Across Central New York And Northeast Pennsylvania. The Primary Threat From Any Thunderstorm That Forms Is Locally Heavy Rainfall As Thunderstorms Will Be Moving Slowly.
Rainfall Of Up To 1 Or 2 Inches Per Hour Will Be Possible In A Few Locations Which Could Cause Localized Urban And Poor Drainage Flooding And Minor Flooding Along Small Streams And Possible Road Wash Outs. At This Time...More Serious Flash Flooding Is Not Anticipated.
